Imagine if you will a pie, your favorite, in front of you on a table. Because you are generous, you allow those around the table to take what they want of the pie before you take your piece. What you are left with is about 10% and you enjoy your piece along with the satisfaction that everyone else got their fair share. Now slap yourself, because business doesn’t work that way!
In the last blog entry, we mentioned that the pundits and predictors have pegged vehicle sales in the U.S. to fall below the 16 million for 2008. Let’s just start with that pessimistic view and carry on.
We also know that in 2007 the accessories market in the U.S. was still growing and was expected to get close to $40 Billion according to SEMA. However, based on the economic forecast for 2008, we can’t expect that the accessories industry will continue to grow, but contract this year. Sounds like bad news…
Let’s return to our pie analogy and think about the pie as the accessories market. It’s the dessert after selling the vehicle and dealers get the first crack at serving themselves! Meaning there is no sharing in business and dealers have the opportunity to take a bigger piece of the pie. We aren’t just talking about new car sales either. Pre-owned and serviced vehicles have just as much if not more opportunity for accessory sales. So let’s pretend that instead of the normal 10%, you take 20% of the pie, because you can. You get first dibs and let’s put that into monetary terms.
A $40 Billion industry isn’t going to just disappear, but let’s be realistic and say that it will shrink a bit. Worst case scenario the industry contracts a whopping 25% in 2008. Yikes, that’s puts us at about $30 Billion for the year. But wait, instead of you normal 10% slice of the accessories pie, dealers take 20% this year. Hey, where else are you going to get profits? For all the right reasons you double your accessories efforts and sell 100% more than you did last year. As a whole, the dealer portion for 2008 would grow from roughly $4 Billion to $6 Billion.
Now wait a second? Isn’t this going to be a down year? For car sales, sure, but it doesn’t have to be for accessory sales. Dealers get the first crack at dessert. It’s there and it’s not going away. The upside is dealers getting more than the 10% they usually take. Take more. It’s your car sale; it’s your service customer. Profits in dealership are languishing yet here is a profit pool that is pretty close to a guarantee.
We say have some more pie…